Monday, 24 December 2007

Thailand is a sinking ship....

Prediction 1 is fulfilled... Samak (aka Pig Man) has won the election. No surprises there. Reading the news this morning I felt sad reading quotes from people from the north-east who voted in "Taksin's Party" (although Samak denies any ties to Taksin!). They say that Taksin is the only politician to ever care about them so they want him back. They came to this conclusion because Taksin gave them cash handouts to help relieve their poverty. In truth, and dare I say it - any educated person can see it for what it is - Taksin is a political genius because he knows that if he has the Isaan NE voting loyalty he will win every election, so do what it takes to make them happy. Just look at the figures for eligible voters and the extremely uneven population distribution.

Area

Eligible Voters

North-East

15,523,494

North

8,470,916

Central

11,473,809

Bangkok

4,194,356

South

5,986,434

So, out of 15 and a half million voters in the NE, 9,274,002 voted for PPP Samak/Taksin party. It does not take a genius to see that if you don't have the vote here, you are stuffed. In every previous election the Democrats have struggled to get votes. This election, they won by a landslide in the south and in Bangkok (which is momentous in itself) and almost secured the vote in Central Thailand. No surprises that the north and north-east, Taksin's hometown and purchased voting regions, they lost big time.

This is the overall national vote ->

Political Parties

Constituency MPs

Proportionate MPs

Votes

Seats

%

Votes

Seats

%

PPP

23,963,182

190

47.50

13,166,335

34

42.50

Democrat Party

20,931,865

133

33.25

12,765,281

32

40.00

And then we have the regions ->

Bangkok

Parties

Votes

Democrat Party

116,148

Democrat Party

110,689

Democrat Party

108,497

People Power Party

60,737

People Power Party

58,053

Central ->

Parties

Votes

Seats

People Power Party

5,656,131

39 (39.8%)

Democrat Party

5,655,355

35 (35.7%)

South

Parties

Votes

Seats

Democrat Party

6,827,700

49 (87.5%)

People Power Party

1,033,506

2 (3.6%)

North

Parties

Votes

Seats

People Power Party

5,019,000

44 (58.7%)

Democrat Party

3,141,652

16 (21.3%)

Northeast

Parties

Votes

Seats

People Power Party

9,274,002

96 (71.1%)

Pua Paendin

3,868,310

13 (9.6%)

Ruam Jai Thai Chat Pattana Party

1,786,838

7 (5.2%)

Democrat Party

1,715,132

6 (4.4%)

Figures from The Nation

People are commenting that Samak may not actually become Prime Minister due to the 300 electoral fraud complaints that need investigating in the next 30 days. The Electoral Commission is expected to hand out red cards that disqualify parties for electoral fraud. And who knows if the king will get involved and refuse to sign in the new PM. It sure is going to be an interesting month in Thailand.

3 commentaramas:

Carol and Chris said...

*sigh* (I think that about covers it!!)

Have a fantastic Christmas - lots of love to you and yours

C x

Mel said...

I think you must sit at your computer about as much as I do!!

Have the best day tomorrow C! We're going away for 2 days so I'm very excited! Have some delectable tasty treats that I can't get my hands on, for me!

xxMelxx

Rune said...

Well, I actually don't belive the tiny ammount of cash handed out by the parties have much of an impact. At least here it was more a "lets stick it to the man", basically showing the finger to the middle class and hi-so politicians in Bangkok, who have NEVER lifted a finger to make life for the Isaan people a little better. Thaksin at least made good on some of his promises, like subsidising health care and making obtining a loan obtainable. And contradicting the myth that those loands where for the most part just pissed away, many used them to strat thriving businesses. Their alternative before wass going to the loan sharks.

Just maybe, after this election, the other parties will actually learn that they have to recon with the people, if they want to win elections. And the people, thats not the middle class. It's the poor peasant. And the democrats did not only lose in Isaan. They lost in the North, and even in Central Thailand.

Then you can say what you want about Samak. And rest assured....he aint going to hold power for long.